Read two reports this morning on the internet. One had to do
with goals being set for 30-day and 90-day timeframes. The other had to do with
how underprepared America, Canada and Mexico are for the employment markets
just a few years away. In the US that market is very much here and now.
Two reports that seem totally unconnected. But they are.
Cause and effect connected, actually.
As a planner I have seen this problem many times. Goals are
focused on short term measurable objectives while outcomes desired push time horizons far ahead.
Imagining the desired outcome at some point in the future –
say 3 or 5 years from now – provides the time for deep thinking and creativity.
The codependent elements of any situation become more visible when time is
given to consider them all. And this practice allows time to manage those elements better to produce better results.
Robotics and artificial intelligence are already part of the
workplace in America. It is hugely alive in Japan and China. And other nations.
However, in America, we used the new technology to acquire faster precision
production, that is replicable. Standardized, efficient, higher quality. This
application delivered better results and cost accountants calculated lower
costs over time with higher, sustained return on investment in the new
technology. Another result: fewer workers on the plant floor. Labor shortage
avoided.
But that’s only the immediate labor shortage. Actually,
technology will displace a lot of current workers in time. Newer skills,
however, are needed by employers right now. An army of underemployed people are
available for hire, but they do not have the needed skills.
Who can address this need?
Schools – including community colleges and high schools – but also
universities, unions, trade associations and employers.
Did I just say employers? Yes, I did. They are the ones who should have forecast their labor needs. They are the ones who should have determined the
resources from which labor needs would be satisfied. Seeing the imbalance of
supply and demand, employers should have enlisted partners to fill the gap.
They did not. And public resources did not respond either.
There are those who warned this problem was
imminent. They were pooh-poohed. But now the warning is a clear and present
issue to deal with.
Millions of underemployed and intelligent people can be
taught and trained to replenish the labor pool. Chronically unemployed persons
are also available for deployment at some level of the labor spectrum. All of
this will take ingenuity, cooperation and collaboration on the part of many institutions
of commerce and education. We have the resources. We have the people. And we
have the know-how to fix the problems.
Why is this not done?
I think the reason is pretty simple: America thinks and
plans short term, not long term. We have had this lesson drilled into us for
generations. World War II and its aftermath taught us this. Japan and Germany
chose long-term planning models to rebuild their economies and cultures. They
succeeded. They are the paradigms of strategic thinking and planning. Our own space program taught us how to develop a skilled labor force.
The labor market should have solved the current problem on
its own. Now it will need much more in know-how, resources, and collaboration
to solve the problem. Market forces and government resources working together
can and should be used.
Who knows? Maybe this is the lesson we learn better this
time around to keep us performing long term at lower cost. Isn’t that a market
ideal we all strive for?
Time to get to work.
June 8, 2018
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