Saturday, September 8, 2012

What Do You Want From the Federal Reserve?


  
That’s a fair question these days. Watching the stock markets rise and fall these past few years has almost always been accompanied by nasty comments about the Federal Reserve banking system, and FRB Board Chair Bernanke. Evidently they can do nothing right. But I think this is a biased view from so called market specialists, industry wogs, republicans and entrepreneurs. They seek what? Market stability? Why? No money is ever earned form a stable market. It is the changes, the ups and downs that create the price differentials that generate income for investors. Market mechanics earn their money from the volume of stock traded, not intrinsic values of the stocks.

So, just what is the message enemies of the Federal Reserve System want us to hear and learn and agree with?

I am not at all sure.

Last I heard, the FRB’s sole purpose was to maintain liquidity and safety of the nation’s banking system. They are to bleed excess energy from a booming interest rate market to avoid a bust, and to pump up the system should a bust occur. It is the tweaking of the system to keep away from  booms and busts that occupy the time and energy of the FRB. That’s how the system was designed back in Alexander Hamilton’s day. The framers of the US Constitution worried about central banking, central monetary policy and the powers that could manipulate the country in and out of economic cycles. They wanted to avoid pernicious behavior by scalawags. They mostly were successful.

Now, the message broadcast by the business and finance media is a chorus shouting stability, rate reductions, rate increases, protection from risk.

Do I need to remind them and everyone else that risk is what an investor, a business person does in order to earn a return on their investment? Risk is the great unknown. The lower the risk the smaller the return. The higher the risk, the greater the return. Of course, if the risk proves to be true and the investment is lost totally, then that’s the price the investor pays. Don’t like those terms? Don’t invest.

Those who have invested in America over 250 years of our history have earned huge wealth. It is not guaranteed. Many others lost great wealth. There is a middle point to consider: regulatory authority that protects the masses and is paid for from reduced risk to investors. We all pay for the gain for all. Simple. Direct.

No one investor gains a huge advantage over another unless they are willing to go rogue and take large risks. If they do and they win, they deserve the gains. If they do not win, they have no one to complain to. Pretty basic, huh?

Yet we hear that FRB chairman Bernanke is supposed to wave a magic wand over the chaos others have created and won’t cooperate to repair, and fix the problems. Bernanke cannot do that without damaging the system.  Risk is endemic to our system. The players have to play the risk to win or lose on their own decisions. It is not the FRB’s job to make this easy; just safe. But it takes cooperation and a sense of fair play.

Lest anyone get confused, the FRB has powers separate from the Supreme Court, the White House and Congress. It was designed this way. All the players know this. Saying anything other than that is a political game designed to lay blame at the feet of those who have no responsibility or authority to fix it. It is a game by game players who wish you and I not to understand the truth.

So, let Bernanke do his job. Let the banking system do its job. Let Congress do its job (although that appears to be null and void on delivery!), and let leadership in the White House have a chance to work.

Lord, this is like watching a bad game of kick ball on the playground of the local elementary school! Nothing but puerile pranks and nonsense.

I thought we were better than that as a nation! Our promise is great if we but give it a chance.

September 8, 2012


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